Anonymous FTP: Can We Risk It?

Dare We Publish Pre-prints?

Gene V Glass
College of Education
Arizona State University

Abstract:
A redefinition of scholarly communications will significantly impact publishers, scholars, and libraries. Our concept of a scholarly journal, as established in the traditional world of paper media, is under serious challenge due to recent advances in telecommunications technology. The idea of creating "pre-print" digital archives, while in use in the "hard sciences" (physics, chemistry, mathematics), has yet to catch-on in the "soft sciences" (education and psychology, to name just two). Creation of an electronic system that provides a venue for scholars to share their early work and benefit from immediate review by peers world-wide has now been a technical possibility for some years and has recently gone online for educational research in the United Kingdom. Why is its existence largely unknown? Why is the prospect of such archives playing a central role in scholarly communications so dismal in the soft sciences?


 
        My friend Larry Rudner tells me not to expect an Anonymous FTP site for educational research to succeed any time soon. I am strongly inclined to trust his judgment on this matter since I know no one with more experience in these matters than he. And how ever much I yearn for the day when all scholars will communicate quickly and widely without the intercession of private commercial interests, I nonetheless respect my colleagues' prediction about the possibility that we will not see this day any time soon. In this article, I am searching for the reasons why this is so.
        At the beginning of the search for reasons is the discrepancy between how the hard and soft sciences communicate. (I shall rely heavily on the distinction between hard and soft sciences without attempting a careful analysis of what these designations mean. If pressed, I can do no better than cite a couple of authors whose ideas here have influenced me, viz., Paul Meehl (1978) in his famous "Two Knights" paper, and David Labaree (1998) in his paper "Educational researchers: Living with a lesser form of knowledge." Going back further, the reader can find foundation for the arguments presented here in Gergen (1973), Andreski (1972), and Nozick (1974). I will have to return to some of these authors below to make several points.)

Question: xxx.lanl.gov: Where Does Hard Science Go to Find Research?
Ans.: It goes to Los Alamos, New Mexico.

        Specifically, it goes to the arXiv.org e-Print archives better known as xxx.lanl.gov. xxx.lanl.gov, or arXiv.org as it now wishes to be called, was created in August of 1991 as a fully automated electronic archive and distribution server for research papers. The disciplines covered include physics and related disciplines, mathematics, nonlinear sciences, computational linguistics, and neuroscience. See Appendix A for a detailed list of sub-disciplines archived at xxx.lanl.gov.
        Users retrieve articles from the archive either through web browsers or by sending email commands to the system. Authors submit their papers to the archive either using the web interface, anonymous ftp, or e-mail. Authors can update their submissions, though prior versions remain available.
        The access statistics for xxx.lanl.gov are truly staggering. Over 2,500 new articles were archived on the system in the month of March, 2000. The number of "unique hosts" (roughly, persons) connecting to the system to download articles was over 150,000 for the same month. The following graphs (Figures 1 and 2) show the growth in use of the system over the past few years.

Figure 1. Numbers of Articles Submitted to xxx.lanl.gov Since 1991

Figure 2. Numbers of "Users" of   xxx.lanl.gov July 1997 - March 2000

  • Red-Number of connections in each week
  • Blue-Number of hosts connecting that week (divide by 10 for correct number)
  • Green-Number of new hosts that week (divide by 10)

What Hard Scientists say about xxx.lanl.gov

        On the "Larry King Weekend" telecast on CNN on December 25, 1999, Stephen Hawking, the famous cosmologist, was asked,
"[KING] What, Professor Hawking, do you consider the most important discovery of this millennium?"

and Hawking replied,

"[HAWKING] I think the invention of printing was a breakthrough for the human race. It meant that information and discoveries could be disseminated widely and not just on a one-to-one basis by word of mouth or handwritten manuscript. It led to an ever increasing rate of scientific and technological development. This has now made printing almost obsolete and replaced it by the Internet."

"[KING, in his inimitable fashion] Do you surf the net? What do you think of this Internet thing?"

"[HAWKING] I use the Internet each day to get physics papers and to get the news from the BBC or CNN."


        Brand (1999) conducted a series of interviews with physicists, mathematicians, chemists, psychologists and educational researchers in which he questioned these conspicuously productive scholars on their habits of communicating their research to their respective communities, and in particular, their use of computer mediated telecommunications to do so. As one might expect, the hard scientists reported that the internet and, specifically xxx.lanl.gov, was the primary means by which they keep current with research in their field. A physicist at a Research I university explained his use of the online preprint archive: "Suddenly, there's a new way I can instantly broadcast to everybody. Why shouldn't I be able to do it? ... that's the incentive to research, which is to maximize ease, dissemination, and maximize the availability of their research in a timely fashion."
        Numerous physicists, asked if they foresaw electronic journals replacing paper, answered with a resounding "Yes!" An experienced physicist from a large Research I university described his view of the timetable for the transition as follows: "It's already happening! An important set of journals for us [the physics reviews] . . . and those are now available online so you can download the articles." Asked the same question, a young chemist from a smaller comprehensive university, responded: "Yes, almost all of our journals now have gone to online versions...."

Question: Where Does Soft Science Go to Find Research?
Ans: It waits for the letter carrier.

        Few realize that an Anonymous FTP site for education exists: It's called Education-line and it resides at

http://www.leeds.ac.uk/educol/


        Education-line was started on January 2, 1997, when it was announced at the North of England Education Conference in Sheffield, England. Its guidelines for submissions signaled its interest in unreviewed "pre-prints," much like xxx.lanl.gov for the hard sciences.
 

Guidelines for submission to the Education-line

Coverage

Education-line will consider electronic texts in the following categories of literature:

  • "grey literature": typically reports, working papers, conference documents, speeches or other items of literature, possibly but not necessarily intended for a small or immediate readership, often with a non-commercial producer;
  • "pre-print literature": documents intended for publication in other media, whose early release in electronic form will improve the research community to, the work
The database will encourage electronic discussion about documents on the system and about general education and training issues.


 

Figure 3. Acquisitions of Education-line in its First Year (1997)


        In its first year, Education-line acquired and archived 600 articles. But by January 14, 2000, it had recorded only its 1,315th submission. This is a monthly rate of 35 submissions compared to the submission rate at xxx.lanl.gov of 2,500 per month. Access logs for March 2000, show visitors to Education-line coming from from about 7,500 separate internet addresses. Education-line is a superb facility, technically, but it is not unfair to say that relatively few educational researchers use it. Its current monthly activity compares unfavorably with the weekly activity of a single scholarly peer reviewed journal of the traditional type that is confined to one narrow sub-discipline of education:

Access records for Education Policy Analysis Archives

        Does this difference in usage between xxx.lanl.gov and Education-line have to do with the fact that there are so many more physicists in the world than there are educational researchers? Well, the differences in the two populations are not as striking as one might assume. For the American Physics Society, membership currently consists of roughly 42,000 people in the following proportions: 50% academia (including students, postdocs, faculty, research staff), 25% industry, and the remainder national laboratories and other venues. The current membership of AERA is approximately 25,000. And in fact, AERA membership is skewed more toward academics than is the membership of the American Physics Society; for AERA, the breakdown of membership is 79% academia, 9% school districts, 2% federal agencies, 1% industry, and 8% R&D and testing organizations. In fact, the numbers of persons with academic affiliations are 21,000 for the American Physics Society and 19,000 for AERA. So, educational research does not want for researchers, but it does have very different habits when it comes to communicating about research.

Why the Difference Between How the Hard Sciences and the Soft Sciences Communicate?

        In Brand's (1999) study, referred to earlier, the hard scientists reported that the internet and, specifically xxx.lanl.gov, was the primary means by which they keep current; soft scientists (psychologists and educationists) reported continuing to rely on traditional paper journals, and in fact, expressed some distrust of scholarly communications over the internet. Brand's interview data illustrated not only the status of each discipline in the formation of their pre-print archives, but also their feelings toward such a development. According to a scientific librarian who was interviewed, preprints have been available for quite a while in physics:
"Physics had a strong tradition of preprints in paper far before it did electronically. And so it was kind of a natural thing that worked there. I think it will work it other disciplines. Other disciplines are just much more slowly coming to it. But probably something of that type will be much more heavily in play in a variety of disciplines in the next few years." (Brand, 1999, p. 137)
        A chemist who revealed in the interview that he preferred to receive materials electronically noted the following:
"I would say chemistry lags behind many other fields like physics and mathematics where they really are; everything comes up as preprints first. Chemistry is a little worse about that for some reason. . . . There's hardly any, nothing compared to physics or mathematics as far as the preprint community. It's a shame. I mean you write, all you have to do is spend much time with math or physics and you've really spoiled, if you like online things, you start to love their society because half my work is in physics and I can get everything online without ever worrying about it." (Brand, 1999, p. 137)
        Educators, on the other hand, have a history of a form of eprint/preprint known as ERIC (Educational Research Information Center). The majority of the educational researchers interviewed did not view ERIC very highly. A prominent educationist spoke thusly about ERIC:
"Another factor in education, in particular I think is that the electronic media may be a bit tainted by the experience we've had with ERIC. ERIC doesn't really have a very good reputation. It's a tremendous resource and we use it, but the first thing anybody is told about ERIC is, you know, anybody who wants to can send a bunch of term papers in there, and they'll stick them in ERIC. There's no quality control at all. Things end up in ERIC and are sent as ERIC documents, only if the author has been unable to place them in a more prestigious format. So I can submit something to ERIC and I'll try to publish it, but if I don't manage to publish it, then it will end up being an ERIC citation someplace. So ERIC has a reputation, I'm afraid, as being more like the leavings. And I think that probably may have very well created some prejudice against the electronic media. I don't know that. Again, it's speculation. I'm not even sure how you go about tracking it down." (Brand, 1999, p. 137)
        One might be tempted to describe this researcher's attitude toward a mere archive as supercilious (a raised, doubtful eyebrow conveying contempt and scorn), but it must be taken seriously. Undoubtedly, this person spoke for many and gave voice to a culture that has and continues to shape educational researchers modes of communication. Indeed, Brand observed throughout his study that the soft sciences were much more concerned with the "quality" of its communications media than the hard sciences. More about this below when attention focuses more closely on peer review.

The Greater Technical Expertise of the Hard Scientists?

        That physicists are more adept at operating PCs than educationists was once probably very true, today only somewhat true and increasingly carries little weight in accounting for the very different communication habits of the two groups. Perhaps they—physicists— are somewhat more familiar with Adobe Acrobat or file transfer protocols, but since mere toddlers have had the ability to browse and click for three or four years now, it is difficult to believe that accessing information on the internet is beyond the skills of anyone working in a university today. Indeed, if anyone accused educationists of being inferior to hard scientists in their ability to use a library card catalogue, the educationists would be justifiably outraged.

The Absence of "Paradigms" in the Soft Sciences?

        The term "paradigm" has become a modern cliché, applied to nearly anything the speaker wants to aggrandize, and the slightest change of no particular significance is christened a "paradigm shift." This usage surely stems from Thomas Kuhn's 1962 The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in which he advanced his then controversial views on how science progresses. In the late 1960s, Dick Dershimer, who was AERA Executive Officer at the time, went to Princeton to interview Kuhn and glean what wisdom he might vouchsafe to educational researchers. I read the transcript of that interview about 30 years ago, and one thing has stuck in my memory. Kuhn said that his ideas had no relevance for educational research whatsoever since educational research had no paradigm—by which he meant, a prevailing, agreed upon set of concepts, methods and questions. In deed, if you read the 1961 book carefully, you will see that Kuhn thought that biology and the social sciences were also in what he termed a "pre-paradigm" stage.
        What then do the soft sciences have if they don't have paradigms? They have fads (Meehl, 1978) and tribal leaders (Becher, 1989) [The case of Edward Tolman.] . The sociology and the politics of the science become as important or more important than the science itself.
        The culture and history of the disciplines in the hard sciences, as asserted by the participants in Brand's study, facilitated the use of non-reviewed electronic archives of research. Members of the soft disciplines spoke of a history of unreliable data archives such as ERIC, no apparent urgent need for discovery and dissemination, and argued unconvincingly that their colleagues possessed lower technical ability and familiarity in working on computers.
        Labaree (1998) argued that education lives with a lesser form of knowledge than physics due to the kinds of knowledge produced. Soft applied knowledge production is "rural" and "divergent," to use Becher's terms; the researchers can not build towers on the foundation laid by others since education is always altering the foundation. On the other hand, hard, pure knowledge production is "urban" and "convergent," allowing the field to build upon solid foundations of agreed upon methods, constructs and established empirical findings (Kuhn's "paradigm," as it were). Labaree's assertions were visible in the fast growth of electronic journals in the hard disciplines and its eprint cumulative nature. Soft disciplines, according to Labaree, place senior educators in less control over the intellectual knowledge due to the ease with which even novices can challenge favored theories and published studies. On a couple of occasions in Brand's study, senior researchers in the soft sciences reported not being willing to relinquish their data to other scientists unless they were deemed qualified to review their work. On the other hand, the majority of the hard scientists mentioned the time and effort that each of them contribute to making the data or the information available to all other colleagues and researchers for immediate replication of the experiment. Where even the highest are subject to critique by the lowest, a premium is placed on tribal leaders and gate- keeping and orthodoxy of thought—hence, the premium placed by soft scientists on controlling the messages emanating from the various media.

The Role of Peer Review in Scholarly Communications

        The most palpable difference between the hard sciences and the soft sciences appears to be with respect to their reverence for "peer review." Brand (1999, p. 101) found that the hard sciences were less enamored of peer review than soft sciences:
"Hard scientists favored peer review over nothing at all, but if they had to choose between timely access and peer review, many would have chosen timely access. This was not the case in the soft disciplines."

"One senior educational scholar, Educationist A stated, I think quality control and perception of quality control are really serious issues [in considering the speed of development of electronic communications]." (Brand, p. 101)

Another scholar and editor, Educationist B, stated: "As soon as the promotion and tenure all the way up the line believes in it and believes it has just as tough a review [as paper journals], then I think it will be accepted. I think as yet, I don't think electronic journals have as tough a review. I need to be convinced, and people like me sit on those boards." (Brand, 1999, p. 105)


        It is generally believed that "peer review" provides for
  1. protection against error
  2. improved version resulting from feedback
  3. efficiency of readers' time since "bad" articles are suppressed.
  4. a higher level of scholarship because of the threat of rejection.
The reality may be somewhat different.
        One would think that hard science has more to fear from "error" than soft science does. If this were so, then hard scientists would be more dedicated to peer review of articles than soft scientists. But as we see, the opposite is true. In actuality neither has strong reasons to fear "error," since the hard sciences are not fundamentally threatened by error or fudging or fraud (it stands only to lose a little bit of time—Franklin, 1990, 1997—recall the case of "cold fusion" and how quickly it was examined and dispensed with), and the soft sciences can scarcely discriminate between error and truth amid its rampant ideological and methodological wars.
        The irony discovered through comparing and contrasting the disciplines is that those scholars and researchers most at risk of being misled by "errors" in communications were least inclined to support the institution of peer review to protect themselves from error. Those scholars who had least to fear from such "error" were the most intent on controlling access to publication outlets. Physicists said, "Don't slow things down by tying them up in the peer review process; give me the data and I'll decide whether it is right or not." Psychologist, educationists and other practitioners of the soft disciplines emphasized the risk to their disciplines of allowing "errors" to enter the literature. One becomes suspicious that this reliance on the peer review process in the soft disciplines (e.g., rejection rates in the soft sciences often approach 80%-90% while remaining extremely low—5% to10%—in the hard sciences) has more to do with controlling whose message and what message is disseminated than it has to do with protecting the discipline from error.
        Stevan Harnad of Southampton University in the UK and of Princeton University has been a leader in exploring new modes of scholarly communication—"scholarly skywriting, as he calls it. Harnad has been a visionary in the area of scholarly communications, and what little progress has been made in psychology in internet communications owes much to his efforts. Throughout the past decade, Harnad maintained a consistent position in favor of peer review of electronic publications. "The scholarly communicative potential of electronic networks is revolutionary. There is only one sector in which the Net will have to be traditional, and that is in the validation of scholarly ideas and findings by peer review. Refereeing can be implemented much more rapidly, equitably and efficiently on the Net, but it cannot be dispensed with, as many naive enthusiasts (who equate it with 'censorship') seem to think." (Harnad, 1993)
        By far the most productive discussion of these issues occurred in September 1998 in an online forum conducted by the American Scientist, the archives of which are available here: listserver.sigmaxi.org/scripts/wa.exe?A1=ind98&L=september98-forum&F=l. Harnad moderated the discussion and contributed most to it. But his ideas were already well known, and it was the contributions of Joseph Ransdell, a professor of philosophy at Texas Tech University and an early experimenter with internet communications in philosophy, that impressed me most. I have quoted Ransdell below at considerable length—indeed, the length of the quotations will strike many a modern scholar as odd, that person's expectations having been developed in paper media where space is precious—because his ideas are so close to my own and so well put. Indeed, the exchange between Ransdell and Harnad is so compelling and illuminating that it stands itself as testimony to Ransdell's point that the unfiltered exchange of scholars in open discussion is one of the highest forms of intellectual expression, surpassing the unrebutted soliloquies that fill our journals. Consequently, I have appended (C) portions of the forum to this article in case the website disappears or the reader is seeing these words on paper at the moment.

We join the discussion at the point where Ransdell is tempering the enthusiasm of a cyberphile:


> Granted that the way the physics community uses xxx is not the only
> possible model, but it is clear to me that any community would benefit
> by promoting unencumbered, free circulation of authors work through
> centralized, globally mirrored archives.

Ransdell: I agree with this completely, but I suggest that once we move out of the hard sciences we are going to find that the number of academics who disagree with you and me on this will turn out to be much greater and more influential than one might suspect. There will be many who will find it unacceptable that ANY work in the field in question should be made unrestrictedly available. Disciplinary authoritarianism in fields outside of the hard sciences is more the rule than the exception, and any realistic attempt at following the lead of the sciences in taking the sort of free access that xxx exemplifies as paradigmatic has to take that into account. Stevan's reassurances and concrete demonstration that the hierarchical structures presently associated with peer review can be ported to the net and perhaps even made more rigorous there will not pacify these people: they will want ONLY refereed material available and do what they can to insure it, as they are doing now by letting it be known that it is risky to have a network presence of that sort.

These people will, moreover, be disproportionately influential both among faculty and administration—and this for obvious reasons: the present system of restricted access tends by and large to favor those in the most powerful positions in the professorial hierarchy by protecting them and their work from criticisms other than from those who are similarly positioned in the hierarchy, whom they have long since learned how to accommodate or effectively ignore. Old dogs of a certain academic breed (some of them seemingly young) not only will not be learning new tricks but are going to be—as they already are—discrediting new tricks as thoroughly as possible precisely because they do not want to have to deal with young dogs that know these tricks. They can see no place for themselves in a networked professional environment—their lives are already planned out in accordance with other assumptions—and some of them at least are justifiably worried that they may have to answer to criticism posed by their professional inferiors, since they regard themselves as officially certified as superiors by their institutional rank. Their professional lives are built around the kind of protection from the barking dogs of criticism this hierarchical system provides.

Perhaps nobody is like that in the hard sciences. ;-) There is reason to suppose that this kind of authoritarianism is not so prevalent in the sciences, at least, because there is a traceable connection with evidence and substantial results that is not there in these other fields, where people can and sometimes do rely entirely upon personal judgment and institutional privilege for intellectual control. This is much more frequent than one might suspect, and not merely an occasional personal aberration. But it is not primarily a question of how many such people there are but of who they are and where located in the system: power and position are at stake in publication practices, and people do not normally cooperate in changes that seem to threaten their power. I don't know that the Ginsparg movement will affect the people in the sciences much at all in this respect. It seems to me that he simply took institutionally based science one very important step forward by clarifying its pre-existing publication practices by universalizing it in the archive, and he did it beautifully—as best I can make out—by keeping his eye on exactly what had to be done at every step. But the implications of that clarification for the rest of academia are much more radical.

Others may disagree with me on the difficulties ahead, and perhaps Stevan in particular will. But if he does I think it might be because of his experience from the rather special position he stands in, about midway between the hard sciences and the humanities, with some substantial basis going in both directions. For the result of the mediated contact with the sciences which he has promoted so well has been to make the "softer" side of the several disciplines he is mediating much more like the sciences than they would otherwise be: in short, his own success in elevating the quality of thinking in some of those fields may be misleading him. But I am confident myself that there are going to be major and highly influential areas of academe where the present institutionally reinforced authoritarianism of the professorial system is going to stop the expansion of the Ginsparg model in its tracks if the reactionary tendencies and maneuvers are not understood and outflanked in some way.

Second, I suggest that the progress of the implementation of the Ginsparg model or any model basically compatible with it, be it centralized or distributed, will begin to develop hitches even in the sciences in the areas where the fields begin to "soften" through connections with the human sciences, social and psychological. This can even be predicted, I believe, if one is willing to get solid information on the extent to which people on the leading edge in a given field already rely extensively on pre-prints. I wonder if this might not even be a good rule-of-thumb method of measuring the "hardness" of a science: to what extent does if rely upon pre-prints? The "soft" areas in academe hardly use preprints at all and people in them sometimes even think of use of preprints as some sort of cheating!

        Later, in an exchange with Harnad, Ransdell pushed his analysis of the function of peer review further:

Ransdell: I ... move now to the people—and they most assuredly exist—who do not want anything of anybody's that is unfiltered by referees to be made available because they regard refereeing as the elimination of trash, and they do not believe that people in academia should be polluting the international networks with trash. They certainly don't want junior faculty, or untenured profs or grad students from their own departments to be polluting the nets with what may well be trash since nobody has filtered it. They are encouraged in this view by people who stress constantly the importance of refereeing and peer review as something whose chief function it is to identify trash and eliminate trash (and, by implication, intended or unintended, to eliminate trashy people from the academic scene). Not only is this systematically denigrative of the value of the net as intellectually open, but it is highly questionable as a proper description of the purpose of refereeing to begin with.

I find it difficult to believe that refereeing was established historically to trap and dispose of trash, and that has not in fact been the usual function of much of it even in recent years, when the constant harping on the dangers of the barbarians at the gates has moved academics more and more into thinking of themselves as thought police and garbage experts. Refereeing has often served the function simply of organizing the secondary literature within the appropriate journals, each of which has some more or less well-defined niche within a larger informal librarial scheme. Yes, some filtering is happening there, of course, but the imposition on this of the scheme of hierarchical grading of the value of a contribution by authorities in intellectual grading who have been appointed to the task by . . . whom? is an addition to the organizational function of refereeing which is by no means necessarily implicit in it, and it is questionable in its own right in the sense that the time has surely come to question it in order to find out precisely what IS going on in all of this grading and sorting and ranking.

I take that to be one of the most important questions that the success of the Ginsparg archives has forced upon us. If refereeing is not needed at the point where the research reports flow back into the inquiry process and the process itself enriched and developed by those results insofar as they are actually accepted by inquirers by being used by them in inquiry—not graded by "authorities" but accepted (or not accepted) by inquirers—then when and why, precisely, IS refereeing required for inquiry? This is a real question now, and we need a good answer for it, but I haven't seen any such answer thus far, perhaps because nobody wants to ask it for fear of being thought guilty of "having no standards" or being a proponent of unrestricted trash distribution.

        Harnad deserves equal space, but since this article is pushing against the limits of normal attention spans already, I shall append (D) his most concise statement of his view rather than quote it in the body.

Excerpts from the Garvey Study of AERA that Seem Relevant But Don't Fit Nicely Anywhere Yet

(Garvey, 1979) Of all 10 disciplines studied, AERA was almost 50% lower in awareness of authors' previous works than the next lowest group. Garvey demonstrated the inability of the educational research community to establish a strong informal network. Compared to all other groups, AERA seemed to be extraordinarily diffuse in its range of publication outlets. For example, the 102 authors who submitted their presentations to journals identified over 64 different journals to which they submitted. The AERA paper abstracts and the ERIC database attempted to unify the field's scholarly communication, albeit without much success.

Garvey (1979) suggested the following in his research of peer review and scholarly communication: "That eclectic ("soft") nature of the social scientist's subject matter probably contributes to this situation. For example, social science authors and editors disagree more often that physical science authors and editors do on the appropriateness of the required revisions; the editorial process in the social sciences focuses more on the mechanics of the work, such as statistical procedures and methodology, than on the controversiality of research findings; and whereas "core" journals in physical sciences receive few manuscripts previously rejected elsewhere, social science authors repeatedly recycle manuscripts rejected by "core" journals and resubmit them to other "core" journals. (p. 297)


        I have edited three journals on paper, going back to 1968 with the Review of Educational Research. Today I edit two electronic journals (http://epaa.asu.edu, http://cie.ed.asu.edu). None of the paper journals I edited had peer review even remotely approaching the quality of what my editorial board gives me on my electronic education policy journal. An author who published with me two years ago received 14 peer reviews in two weeks; he said it was one of the most rigorous and helpful experiences of his publishing career. But this is less an argument for peer review than it is a suggestion that the 14 reviews should be as public as the amended and finally published article. But this experience speaks only to a tiny marginal improvement in scholarly communications afforded by the new technologies. It does not go to the heart of the matter of justifying our current practices of peer review. Every editor I know can tell stories of how the reviews have sometimes surpassed the thing reviewed, only to be filed out of sight of the reading public. I see my function as Editor at EPAA as more a selector for relevance of content than a guard at the gates of the temple of truth. Even the packaging of scholarly electronic communications in forms resembling traditional journals (with volume and issue numbers and names like "The Journal of Online Whatever") concedes too much to the power of the political and social forces that rule the academic life, in my opinion. And yet, I have in my own efforts reluctantly acceded to these forces.
        The British Medical Journal is currently conducting an experiment with pre-print posting and online public review of research articles. See how it is working at www.bmj.com/cgi/shtml/misc/peer/index.shtml .
        I believe that as a culture, educational research and the other minor disciplines are ambivalent on the role of peer review. Four inconsistencies that are instructive to examine reveal this ambivalence.
  1. The Invisible College.
    Many educationists regard unreviewed articles as on a par with unpasteurized milk, and yet they yearn to be accepted into the "invisible college" of pre-print circulators because the invisible college has been legitimized by the tribal leaders.

  2. Book Reviews.
            In our field book reviews are largely not peer reviewed. They are edited for style by an editor who seldom makes deep substantive suggestions. Now in many areas, e.g., philosophy, history, literature, books reviews are scholarly works of importance nearly equal to the work reviewed. Why are they not peer reviewed?

            In point of fact, the whole matter of books ("trade books") in education reveals the field's ambivalent and inconsistent feelings and practices regarding peer review. It is clear to those who have been in the academic research world (particularly the humanities, social sciences and the minor disciplines) for more than 30 years that many academic books published today would not have been published in the past, before PCs, desktop publishing and the consequent rise of small publishing houses. When McMillan, Wiley and Holt-Rhinehart strode the earth, the publication of a scholarly book was a substantial investment on the part of the publisher and submitted manuscripts were thoroughly and rigorously peer reviewed. (I can recall eight peer reviews of the manuscript of an innocuous statistics textbook published in the late 1960s.) By contrast, today many scholarly books appear to have undergone little or no peer review before publication, and it would not be surprising to learn that they are not reviewed since the economics of publishing hundreds of titles in 500 copy press runs would not leave much money to pay reviewers.
            My impression is that the market today is flooded with scholarly books that never would have been published in an earlier day (and I'm not waxing nostalgic, since the old system is well left), and that many of them are little more than glorified articles. Now, a discipline dedicated to the filtering of scholarly communications to insure quality would be expected to be zealously reviewing such books and exposing their strenths and insufficiencies to the world. In fact, educational research is conspicuous for its lack of interest in reviewing books. I suspect that the number of scholarly books in education published each year exceeds the number of book reviews in the same field by a factor of at least five. The leading scholarly organization in education, AERA, publishes about ten book reviews a year. An online book review journal in education (http://coe.asu.edu/edrev/) created in 1998 by myself and Nicholas Burbules struggles to stimulate an interest in book reviewing among educationists—when have reviews ever been more urgently needed?—with limited success. In over two years we have published fewer than one hundred full-length reviews. Of course this has much to do with the academic reward structure, about which so much has been written and spoken that I hesitate to add anything.

  3. Dissertations
    (peer reviewed or not?)

  4. AERA. Divisions v SIGs.
    The very convention for which this paper was written presents an interesting case in point. For years, the rejection rate on proposals to AERA Divisions for its Annual Meeting have been as high as 50%. By contrast, many scholarly meetings in the hard sciences have very small rejection rates and rely very heavily on "poster sessions"—which by contrast are looked down upon at meetings of soft scientists. Soft scientists often evaluate work by the company it keeps or by appearances because the grounds for evaluating it as to its truth value are so in dispute.

What This All Has To Do With Meta-analysis

        My interests in scholarly communications and meta-analysis (the quantitative integration of empirical research) meet unexpectedly at this point. It has long been a matter of concern to meta-analysts that the findings of empirical research might be filtered and distorted somehow by the review process of journals and other media. Where the matter has been explicitly addressed (Smith, 1980), surprisingly small differences have been observed between the findings that are made public in different media (books, peer-reviewed journals, dissertations, convention papers, unpublished reports). My own experience with having other people select what I read is this: if I have only a passing interest in a topic and can spare little time to educate myself on it, then heavily "filtered" articles in the most "select" outlets are useful; but if I am intensely interested in a topic because it is central to my own research, then I want as few people as possible placing themselves between me and the other researcher with whom I am communicating—peer-review detracts from these communications, rather than adding to it. (I hasten to add that although I acknowledge some utility to "filters" where I have less interest in the topic, it is easy to conceive of many types of filters that are more useful and less dangerous than the traditional peer-review that sifts and winnows.) Like the physicist, the more important the topic is to me, the more I wish to make up my own mind about what I read. (I am curious whether other researchers feel the same way. If you have a view on this to share, please write me: glass@asu.edu.

A Final Clarification

        So that my message is not misread, I add this final point in clarification. I do not suppose that it is in the best interests of the soft disciplines (educational research, for example) to seek to imitate the communications practices of the hard sciences. The differences between them are great, and most efforts of the former to imitate the latter in more fundamental respects have been unproductive. The soft sciences resemble the humanities much more than the hard sciences (Andreski, 1972; Gergen, 1973), and they will have to invent their own patterns of communicating in the digital future. My fond hope is that they will do so thoughtfully and democratically, rather than merely transfer the paper culture to the electronic medium.

Notes

        This article has two titles because it served as the basis for two presentations at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association in New Orleans, in April 2000. There is far more in this article than can be presented in the time allotted for presentations at the Annual Meeting. Each of the presentations (see below) will sample from various portions of the article.
        An article with two titles raises a great many questions. Why isn't the article broken into two, one for each presentation? "Why did this guy get accepted for two presentations on the 'same' topic and my paper got rejected?" someone might ask. How does one cite an article with two titles? Does this article count double for tenure and merit pay? Was this article(s) peer reviewed? All of these questions are legitimate, and the article hopes to raise them for discussion both explicitly and by example.

Session #18.69: Communicating Knowledge in the 21st Century;
4:05-6:05, April 25, 2000
Marriott, Mardi Gras B, 3rd Fl T.

Session #43.66: Scholarly Electronic Communication and the Challenges of Creating Digital Archives;
8:15a.m.-10:15a.m., April 28, 2000
Marriott Hotel, La Galerie 5, 2nd Floor.

References

Andreski, S. (1972). Social sciences as sorcery. London: Deutsch.

Becher, Tony. (1989). Academic tribes and territories: intellectual enquiry and the cultures of disciplines. London: Milton Keynes; Bristol, PA: Society for Research into Higher Education & Open University Press.

Brand, W.J. (1999). Papyrophiles, philistines and electroncentrics: The slow growth of electronic scholarly journals. Doctoral dissertation. Tempe, AZ: Arizona State University.

Dow, Ronald F., (1997). Gatekeeper Attitudes Toward Supplanting Paper Journals with Electronic Alternatives. Doctoral dissertation. University Park: The Pennsylvania State University.

Franklin, A. (1990). Experiment, Right or Wrongs. Cambridge University Press.

Franklin, A. (1997). Can That Be Right? Essays on Experiment, Evidence, and Science. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Garvey, W. D. (1979). Communications: The essence of science facilitating information exchange among librarians, scientists, engineers, and students. New York: Pergamon Press.

Gergen, K. (1973). Social psychology as history. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 26, 309-320.

Harnad, S. (1990). Scholarly skywriting and the prepublication continuum of scientific inquiry. Psychological Science, 1(6), 342-344. [Available online at http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/Papers/Harnad/harnad90.skywriting.html]

Harnad, S. (1993). Implementing peer review on the net: Scientific quality control in scholarly electronic journals. Laboratoire Cognition et Mouvement URA CNRS 1166 I.B.H.O.P. Universite d'Aix Marseille II 13388 Marseille cedex 13, France.

Kuhn, T. S. (1962). The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Labaree, D. F. (1998). Educational researchers: Living with a lesser form of knowledge. Educational Researcher, 27(8), 4-12.

Meehl. P. E. (1978). Theoretical risks and tabular asterisks: Sir Karl, Sir Ronald, and the slow progress of soft psychology. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 46, 806-34.

Nozick, R. (1974). Anarchy, state and utopia. New York: Basic Books.

Schauder, D. (1994). Electronic publishing of professional articles: Attitudes of academics and implications for the scholarly communication industry. Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 45(2), 73-100.

Smith, M. L. (1980). Publication bias in meta-analysis. Evaluation in Education, 4, 22-25.

Appendix A
Disciplines Covered by xxx.lanl.gov

PHYSICS: Astrophysics; Condensed Matter; Disordered Systems and Neural Networks; Materials Science; Mesoscopic Systems and Quantum Hall Effect; Soft Condensed Matter; Statistical Mechanics; Strongly Correlated Electrons; Superconductivity; General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology; High Energy Physics-Experiment; High Energy Physics-Lattice; High Energy Physics-Phenomenology; High Energy Physics-Theory; Mathematical Physics; Nuclear Experiment; Nuclear Theory; Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics; Atomic Physics; Atomic and Molecular Clusters; Biological Physics; Chemical Physics; Classical Physics; Computational Physics; Data Analysis; Statistics and Probability; Fluid Dynamics; General Physics; Geophysics; History of Physics; Instrumentation and Detectors; Medical Physics; Optics; Physics Education; Physics and Society; Plasma Physics; Popular Physics; Space Physics; Quantum Physics     MATHEMATICS: Mathematics; Algebraic Geometry; Algebraic Topology; Analysis of PDEs; Category Theory; Classical Analysis; Combinatorics; Complex Variables; Differential Geometry; Dynamical Systems; Functional Analysis; General Mathematics; General Topology; Geometric Topology; Group Theory; History and Overview; K-Theory and Homology; Linear Algebra; Logic; Mathematical Physics; Metric Geometry; Number Theory; Numerical Analysis; Operator Algebras; Optimization and Control; Probability Theory; Quantum Algebra; Representation Theory; Rings and Algebras; Scientific Computation; Spectral Theory; Symplectic Geometry     NONLINEAR SCIENCES: Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems; Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases; Chaotic Dynamics; Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems; Pattern Formation and Solitons     COMPUTER SCIENCE



Appendix B

Source: Archives of SEPTEMBER-FORUM@LISTSERVER.SIGMAXI.ORG

September "American Scientist" Forum

http://listserver.sigmaxi.org/scripts/wa.exe?A1=ind98&L=september98-forum&F=l

[The writer whose comments are not preceded by a ">" is Joseph Ransdell, whose acquaintance you can make at http://www.door.net/arisbe/homepage/ransdell.htm.]

This is not so much an objection as it is some comments occasioned by what you are saying, Mark, but I think it is germane here. I'm not sure that what I am concerned with should be followed up in this forum, but it is continuous with the aims of the forum, and relates to the question of where to go from here.

You say, as regards the suitability of a centralized approach for all fields:


> Most of the reasons that it may not be suitable seem to be to be
> political and that absent those, most would agree that a centralized,
> mirrored system has many advantages over a distributed system.

and that:


> preprint vs. non-preprint is really a non-issue I think. xxx is just as
> effective a model for circulating reprints as preprints. It is just a
> question of what rights an author retains when signing a copyright
> transfer (or not signing as the case may be).

You are right about there being politics involved, but I believe there are issues of a more difficult sort than that which have not surfaced yet in connection with the idea of using the xxx system as a generalizable model for academic disciplines as a whole. But before saying more, let me quote one more passage:


> Granted that the way the physics community uses xxx is not the only
> possible model, but it is clear to me that any community would benefit
> by promoting unencumbered, free circulation of authors work through
> centralized, globally mirrored archives.

I agree with this completely, but I suggest that once we move out of the hard sciences we are going to find that the number of academics who disagree with you and me on this will turn out to be much greater and more influential than one might suspect. There will be many who will find it unacceptable that ANY work in the field in question should be made unrestrictedly available. Disciplinary authoritarianism in fields outside of the hard sciences is more the rule than the exception, and any realistic attempt at following the lead of the sciences in taking the sort of free access that xxx exemplifies as paradigmatic has to take that into account. Stevan's reassurances and concrete demonstration that the hierarchical structures presently associated with peer review can be ported to the net and perhaps even made more rigorous there will not pacify these people: they will want ONLY refereed material available and do what they can to insure it, as they are doing now by letting it be known that it is risky to have a network presence of that sort.

These people will, moreover, be disproportionately influential both among faculty and administration -- and this for obvious reasons: the present system of restricted access tends by and large to favor those in the most powerful positions in the professorial hierarchy by protecting them and their work from criticisms other than from those who are similarly positioned in the hierarchy, whom they have long since learned how to accommodate or effectively ignore. Old dogs of a certain academic breed (some of them seemingly young) not only will not be learning new tricks but are going to be -- as they already are -- discrediting new tricks as thoroughly as possible precisely because they do not want to have to deal with young dogs that know these tricks. They can see no place for themselves in a networked professional environment -- their lives are already planned out in accordance with other assumptions -- and some of them at least are justifiably worried that they may have to answer to criticism posed by their professional inferiors, since they regard themselves as officially certified as superiors by their institutional rank. Their professional lives are built around the kind of protection from the barking dogs of criticism this hierarchical system provides.

Perhaps nobody is like that in the hard sciences. ;-) There is reason to suppose that this kind of authoritarianism is not so prevalent in the sciences, at least, because there is a traceable connection with evidence and substantial results that is not there in these other fields, where people can and sometimes do rely entirely upon personal judgment and institutional privilege for intellectual control. This is much more frequent than one might suspect, and not merely an occasional personal aberration. But it is not primarily a question of how many such people there are but of who they are and where located in the system: power and position are at stake in publication practices, and people do not normally cooperate in changes that seem to threaten their power. I don't know that the Ginsparg movement will affect the people in the sciences much at all in this respect. It seems to me that he simply took institutionally based science one very important step forward by clarifying its pre-existing publication practices by universalizing it in the archive, and he did it beautifully -- as best I can make out -- by keeping his eye on exactly what had to be done at every step. But the implications of that clarification for the rest of academia are much more radical.

Others may disagree with me on the difficulties ahead, and perhaps Stevan in particular will. But if he does I think it might be because of his experience from the rather special position he stands in, about midway between the hard sciences and the humanities, with some substantial basis going in both directions. For the result of the mediated contact with the sciences which he has promoted so well has been to make the "softer" side of the several disciplines he is mediating much more like the sciences than they would otherwise be: in short, his own success in elevating the quality of thinking in some of those fields may be misleading him. But I am confident myself that there are going to be major and highly influential areas of academe where the present institutionally reinforced authoritarianism of the professorial system is going to stop the expansion of the Ginsparg model in its tracks if the reactionary tendencies and maneuvers are not understood and outflanked in some way.

Second, I suggest that the progress of the implementation of the Ginsparg model or any model basically compatible with it, be it centralized or distributed, will begin to develop hitches even in the sciences in the areas where the fields begin to "soften" through connections with the human sciences, social and psychological. This can even be predicted, I believe, if one is willing to get solid information on the extent to which people on the leading edge in a given field already rely extensively on pre-prints. I wonder if this might not even be a good rule-of-thumb method of measuring the "hardness" of a science: to what extent does if rely upon pre-prints? The "soft" areas in academe hardly use preprints at all and people in them sometimes even think of use of preprints as some sort of cheating!

But apart from the vested interests threatened in the way I mentioned above, there are also other reasons why such a system will not work initially which are rooted in the lack of specialized focus in these fields of the sort which you have in the hard sciences: there are SIGs -- special interest groups -- galore, for example, and other ways of marking out subfields, but these are not in general to be equated with specialized subfields in a science, and it is an open question at this point just how to take effective account of the clumping of interests in these disciplines.

Whatever the answer is, it seems clear to me that it does not lie in the attempt at instituting initially a central server system. In philosophy -- which is my own field -- this has already been tried by setting up a system which is now defunct, so far as I can tell. (The International Philosophical Preprint Exchange.) I was involved in some of the initial discussions among the people setting it up. Perhaps they were aware of the Ginsparg archive, perhaps not. If so they didn't understand what that is all about. It did not come up in that part of the conversation that I participated in and monitored for a while, anyway, and I dropped out of the planning discussion after it seemed clear to me that they were not yet experienced enough in networking activity to see that there is simply no incentive for people in philosophy to make their work publicly available in an archive like that because, until this is already a well-established practice, the suspicion that putting it up there will be regarded as a "vanity press" move is well enough founded to outweigh any belief that posting it might have positive benefits. The "biggies" in the field would have to demonstrate that this is the wrong way of looking at it by putting their own work up, but, by and large, they don't give a fig for any of this to begin with, and there are further problems with a single central archive, anyway, as I indicated above. In any case, a year or so after the central archive of the IPPE started up, when it was clear that the attempt to fill it was not working, the mistaken belief that it was failing because it was not critically filtered was acted upon by instituting an editorial filtering procedure, which is probably what finished it off. The partial amelioration of the vanity press image didn't provide any positive basis for making use of it because it didn't change the fact that the archive corresponded to no existing configuration of interests. it changed management for a second time and does not, I think, exist at all right now.

Now, I think I have at least a vague understanding of why the question of centralized vs. distributed archives is much more than merely a technical or even political problem, but rather than going into that here let me just say that the major problem of the implementation of the xxx ideal across academe generally will be to do so without inadvertently betraying it by compromising the principle of unrestricted deposit and access.

To be more exact, the problem is this. It will turn out that in order to extend this ideal across the board the first step in many fields will have to be the establishing of a number of specialized archives, none of which implement the principles of the xxx archive in an unqualified way, because certain human filtering procedures will have to be introduced prior to the feeding of the document into the automated archive. I am NOT talking about peer reviewing or refereeing but filtering for topical relevance and overall form. These things cannot be INITIALLY automated as they are at Los Alamos. (I won't attempt to explain why in the present message.) IF these procedures are NOT adopted to accommodate the refereeing or peer review system, though, then the Ginsparg ideal is still functioning in the implementation, even if in a qualified and slackened form, and one can think in terms of some day implementing it in a more thoroughgoing or unqualified way.

And just this much could be enormously helpful in elevating the level of intellectual activity in these other areas of academe by providing, in effect, a diagnostic-analytic tool for understanding what is and is not happening in professional publication in the area in question: if the Ginsparg model cannot be applied in its pure form, what is it about that field and its publication practices that makes it impossible to implement that model effectively? We should be able to find that out if that is part of the implementation plan from the beginning, and we might be surprised at the answer.

If, however, the filtering compromises are based on referee or peer review considerations, the Ginsparg achievement will be nullified in such an implementation since it now becomes nothing more than a technical implementation of a system of restricted access, and since any refereeing system that restricts access which is procedurally fair enough to command professional respect is going to require some substantial review time, the field in question will revert to exactly where it was before, which will either be one of domination by "invisible colleges" while those not privy to the thinking of the in-group will have to wait for the results of the filtering or else one in which preprints are hardly used at all and nothing whatever has been accomplished.

All of this [is] not to prolong the present discussion, if that is now at its end, but to see if there is any interest in pursuing the problematics of this extension to the rest of academe in some appropriate forum. I do not assume that everyone will see the problem as I do, and don't mean to be pushing a special agenda and will not do so; but there seems to me much that has not yet been discussed.






I am not talking about "conspiracies" but about the realities of vested interests and of professional habits and practices in the humanities and some of the social sciences, at least. They are different and importantly so and if we attempt to extrapolate from what is successful in some of the hardest of the hard sciences to literature and social science and history and so forth we are just spinning out a dream if we don't take due account of those differences.

I could of course be exaggerating them, and I wouldn't be surprised if I give that impression because it is difficult to convey a just sense for these things in a short space: qualifications and provisos can't be elaborated adequately. But any excess on my side is surely being met with excess on yours when you talk as if there is really nothing to concern ourselves about when it comes to thinking it through further, and it is just a matter of tediously repeating the same well-known considerations again and again until people finally get it:


> I hope I can be forgiven if I find all this rather difficult to take
> seriously! "Obstacles" like these put one more in mind of Zeno's
> Paradox (or perhaps Buridan's Donkey or even the Wizard Oz) than of
> anything that should give a reflective mind pause, particularly after
> the prima facie responses to such prima facie worries have once been
> heard.
> But one does learn a good deal about human nature from transitional
> periods like this, and apparently those prima facie responses must be
> repeated many times before they are sufficient to persuade the
> thirsty cavalry to drink...
>
> Well, that's what we're here for...

I can certainly forgive you because you have done more than any other individual to promote the larger cause, which is simply the kind of reform of disciplinary intellectual life that is appropriate to the advent of digitally-based network communication. I know what your vision is and I share it, but if all we are here for is to repeat the litanies already composed, Stevan, then that kind of reform is already dead on its feet and the vision is just an hallucination. So I can't take THAT seriously!

But let me get serious for a moment. I have been caught up in this vision for about the same length of time you have, I think, but I've been coming at it from a quite different perspective of personal and professional interest and academic background and have spent my time largely in just trying to find out what in the hell IS going on in academia that accounts for how glacially slow it is in responding to the rapidly changing realities of communication when our lives as academics are built wholly around communicational arrangements. Now, there are many handles one can grab that problem by, all of which can reveal something of importance if one is diligent in inquiring into it, but the one that is most important for purposes of active reform is motivation. We have to understand why it is that the right motivations have yet to be tapped in the faculty generally. You address this yourself when you go on to say:


> What is a matter of historical fact so far is that (except in Physics,
> Mathematics and some associated fields) it has not proven sufficient
> simply to open a public author archive and invite submissions. It is
> not that the cavalry are not thirsty; it is that they are so
> unaccustomed to unrestricted access to water that they need constant
> encouragement

Yes, but encouragement of whom, exactly, and how?


> That is why CogPrints [http://cogprints.soton.ac.uk] will be actively
> soliciting submissions, with Calls and periodic indices of the
> Archive's growing contents as incentives, rather than passively waiting
> and hoping for the best.
>
> The appeal is quite simple, and also quite irresistible once anyone
> reflects on it: One already has one's papers in one's word-processor;
> depositing them once in the Archive takes a moment and the effect is
> equivalent to mailing limitless numbers of preprints and reprints to
> all possible interested parties. The only rationales against that are
> those against publishing at all.

Yes, one has to get active, but your idea of the appeal takes no account of the realities of the lives of academics in the humanities. These can be divided into two major categories (leaving aside some who don't quite fit into this simple scheme): (1) those who are tenured and ensconced in an academic position which they regard as satisfying their basic need to become established permanently in academic life and with some minimal sense that they are professionally respected and with some minimal opportunity for betterment of their position if all goes well, and (2) those who are untenured, including those on the tenure track, also that ever increasing number of "adjunct" faculty who are paid disgracefully low wages and have no realistic prospects of doing anything more than surviving at a poverty level into the indefinite future, if they are lucky, year by year, and graduate students, usually working as TAs.

Taking class (2) first, who are the vast majority: they certainly have a real interest in making their work publicly available, not simply out of sheer desire to communicate with others about common topics of inquiry, but also in hopes that their futures will be affected for the better by doing so. But their futures depend upon the opinion of those in class (1), and they know quite well that displeasing anybody in class (1) who is in position to decide their future can wipe their future out or degrade it seriously: they can be washed out of grad school, they can be trashed on the tenure track, and for more and more all the time, they can be trashed any time the faculty meets and makes decisions about which of the adjuncts or TA's is going to teach this or that. Now, very few of this large class of people who might have papers to make available on the internet are in fact going to run the risk of making them available except in the somewhat unusual case where the paper has already been published, in which case the publisher may just say no, anyway, and even with permission there is little incentive for them to stick their neck out by putting something out that is likely to be intensely disliked by somebody somewhere who is highly partisan about the issue in question and who might turn out to be a part of the local tenured establishment or be tenured at the place where he or she will be applying for a job.

Now, there has been for many years now such a huge surplus of talented people in the humanities who have been unable to find a job but have hung in academia desperately as a part of this labor pool that you can be sure that there is some good work out there that nobody will ever read because the authors of it are afraid to make it public. Why? Because they understand quite well that doing so could wipe out their careers definitively, and what could they have to gain that would balance that? Are they paranoid in thinking this ? Most assuredly not.

The way people's careers are handled routinely in the humanities is as if designed to encourage the worst in the people making decisions in connection with them, and the paranoid is more likely to survive than the person who retains a naive belief in elementary justice. Is this because people in the humanities are just rotten? Of course not. This is a systems problem—people will behave rottenly when there is no way to behave decently, in which case they just won't even think about what they are doing any more—and the fact is that the system for handling people coming into the disciplines in the humanities has become so brutal and exploitative that nobody even wants to think about it or hear about it any more.

Turning to class (1), those that are comfortably tenured, they are such because they have developed procedures and strategies that are a part of the traditional modus operandi of the tenured academician, which does not include making their work available on the internet. The traditional practices have gotten them where they are and they are not going to re-tool and learn new tricks just because the internet is out there. They are told constantly that it is mostly just trash out there—even by people who think of themselves as promoting networking—and simply putting their paper out there online appears to many of them first of all as a decision to put their work out in a trash medium. I could elaborate on this extensively but the point is that for many tenured humanists the making of their work available to all and sundry in that way is something that carries with it a certain sense of shame, the shamefulness associated with the idea of the vanity press and, more than that, with the idea of making a mass appeal, and although this can be overcome it is not even touched by what you take to be the appeal:


> The appeal is quite simple, and also quite irresistible once anyone
> reflects on it: One already has one's papers in one's word-processor;
> depositing them once in the Archive takes a moment and the effect is
> equivalent to mailing limitless numbers of preprints and reprints to
> all possible interested parties. The only rationales against that are
> those against publishing at all.

It is not a question of rationales but of motives. You cannot simply open an archive and say "Here it is! Your opportunity to make your work available to all and sundry!" The motive is not there regardless of the rationale. The time may come when these inhibiting attitudes will be of little significance and all that is needed is to set the archive up and announce it, but it is not that way now and it will require some real thinking and talking about these things to figure out how to make such an appeal effective, and it has to take just such things as I am mentioning now seriously as problems because they ARE problems regardless of how silly they seem to be from the perspective of the enlightened.

I won't go into that further now but move now to the people—and they most assuredly exist—who do not want anything of anybody's that is unfiltered by referees to be made available because they regard refereeing as the elimination of trash, and they do not believe that people in academia should be polluting the international networks with trash. They certainly don't want junior faculty, or untenured profs or grad students from their own departments to be polluting the nets with what may well be trash since nobody has filtered it. They are encouraged in this view by people who stress constantly the importance of refereeing and peer review as something whose chief function it is to identify trash and eliminate trash (and, by implication, intended or unintended, to eliminate trashy people from the academic scene). Not only is this systematically denigrative of the value of the net as intellectually open, but it is highly questionable as a proper description of the purpose of refereeing to begin with.

I find it difficult to believe that refereeing was established historically to trap and dispose of trash, and that has not in fact been the usual function of much of it even in recent years, when the constant harping on the dangers of the barbarians at the gates has moved academics more and more into thinking of themselves as thought police and garbage experts. Refereeing has often served the function simply of organizing the secondary literature within the appropriate journals, each of which has some more or less well-defined niche within a larger informal librarial scheme. Yes, some filtering is happening there, of course, but the imposition on this of the scheme of hierarchical grading of the value of a contribution by authorities in intellectual grading who have been appointed to the task by . . . whom? is an addition to the organizational function of refereeing which is by no means necessarily implicit in it, and it is questionable in its own right in the sense that the time has surely come to question it in order to find out precisely what IS going on in all of this grading and sorting and ranking.

I take that to be one of the most important questions that the success of the Ginsparg archives has forced upon us. If refereeing is not needed at the point where the research reports flow back into the inquiry process and the process itself enriched and developed by those results insofar as they are actually accepted by inquirers by being used by them in inquiry—not graded by "authorities" but accepted (or not accepted) by inquirers—then when and why, precisely, IS refereeing required for inquiry? This is a real question now, and we need a good answer for it, but I haven't seen any such answer thus far, perhaps because nobody wants to ask it for fear of being thought guilty of "having no standards" or being a proponent of unrestricted trash distribution.

In any case, Steven, I do not see why you should find it so difficult to believe that there are people who want nothing to be made available that is not refereed when you have yourself argued again and again that the reason there has been no migration to the net in the way one might expect is that the right sort of people aren't going on-line because they can't live intellectually without their trash filters and having somebody doing their assessing and ranking and sorting for them so they don't have to waste their time reading anything except what is stamped "This is the Very Best" on the front of it. I would have thought those are the very people who would not want to see people from their own departments polluting the nets with trash or material that might well be trash since it has never been okayed by the experts. So, no, I don't see the extended application of the xxx paradigm as a routine task, requiring nothing more than a recitation of what is already known, but as something that is likely to turn out to have many surprises in store for all of us.

Appendix C

The shorter version of this paper appeared in Nature [online]:

Harnad, S. (1998) The invisible hand of peer review. Nature [online] (c. 5 Nov. 1998)

A Longer (and better) version is appended below.

The Invisible Hand of Peer Review

Stevan Harnad
Multimedia research Group
Electronics and Computer Science Department
Southampton University
Highfield, Southampton
SO17 1BJ United Kingdom
harnad@soton.ac.uk harnad@princeton.edu
http://www.princeton.edu/~harnad/intpub.html
http://cogsci.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/intpub.html

ABSTRACT: The refereed journal literature needs to be freed from both paper and its costs, but not from peer review, whose "invisible hand" is what maintains its quality. The residual cost of online-only peer review is low enough to be recovered from author-end page charges, covered from institutional subscription savings, thereby vouchsafing a toll-free literature for everyone forever.

Human nature being what it is, it cannot be altogether relied upon to police itself. Individual exceptions there may be, but to treat them as the rule would be to underestimate the degree to which our potential unruliness is vetted by collective constraints, implemented formally.

So it is in civic matters, and it is no different in the world of Learned Inquiry. The "quis custodiet" problem among scholars has traditionally been solved by means of a "quality assurance" system called "peer review" (Harnad 1985): The work of specialists is submitted to a qualified adjudicator, an editor, who in turn sends it to fellow-specialists, referees, to seek their advice about whether the paper is potentially publishable, and if so, what further work is required to make it acceptable. The paper is not published until and unless the requisite revision can be and is done to the satisfaction of the editor and referees.

Pitfalls of peer policing

Neither the editor nor the referees is infallible. Editors can err in the choice of specialists (indeed, it is well-known among editors that a deliberate bad choice of referees can always ensure that a paper is either accepted or rejected, as preferred); or editors can misinterpret or misapply referees' advice. The referees themselves can fail to be sufficiently expert, informed, conscientious or fair.

Nor are authors always conscientious in accepting the dictates of peer review. (It is likewise well-known among editors that virtually every paper is eventually published, somewhere (Lock 1985; reviewed in Nature: Harnad 1986): There is a quality hierarchy among journals, based on the rigour of their peer review, all the way down to an unrefereed vanity press at the bottom. Persistent authors can work their way down until their paper finds its own level, not without considerable wasting of time and resources along the way, including the editorial office budgets of the journals and the freely given time of the referees, who might find themselves called upon more than once to review the same paper, sometimes unchanged, for several different journals.)

The system is not perfect, but it is what has vouchsafed us our refereed journal literature to date, such as it is, and so far no one has demonstrated any viable alternative to having experts judge the work of their peers, let alone one that is at least as effective in maintaining the quality of the literature as the present imperfect one is (Harnad 1982).

Self Policing?

Alternatives have of course been proposed, but to propose is not to demonstrate viability. Most proposals have envisioned weakening the constraints of classical peer review in some way or other. The most radical way being do away with it altogether: let authors police themselves; let every submission be published, and let the reader decide what is to be taken seriously. This would amount to discarding the current hierarchical filter -- both its active influence, in directing revision, and its ranking of quality and reliability to guide the reader trying to navigate the ever-swelling literature (Hitchcock et al. 1998).

There is a way to test our intuitions about the merits of this sort of proposal a priori, using a specialist domain that is somewhat more urgent and immediate than abstract "learned inquiry"; and if we are not prepared to generalise this test's verdict to scholarly/scientific research in general, we must ask ourselves how seriously we take the acquisition of knowledge: If someone near and dear to you were ill with a serious but potentially treatable disease, would you prefer to have them treated on the basis of the refereed medical literature or on the basis of an unfiltered free-for-all where the distinction between reliable expertise and ignorance, incompetence or charlatanism is left entirely to the reader, on a paper by paper basis?

A variant on this scenario is about to be undertaken by the British Medical Journal (http://www.bmj.com/cgi/shtml/misc/peer/index.shtml), but instead of entrusting entirely to the reader the quality control function performed by the referee in classical peer review, this variant, taking a cue from some of the developments and goings-on on both the Internet and Network TV chat-shows, plans to publicly post submitted papers unrefereed on the Web and to invite any reader to submit a commentary; these commentaries will then be used in lieu of referee reports as a basis for deciding on formal publication.

Expert Opinion or Opinion Poll?

Is this peer review? Well, it is not clear whether the self-appointed commentators will be qualified specialists (or how that is to be ascertained). The expert population in any given speciality is a scarce resource, already overharvested by classical peer review, so one wonders who would have the time or inclination to add journeyman commentary services to this load on their own initiative, particularly once it is no longer a rare novelty, and the entire raw, unpoliced literature is routinely appearing in this form first. Are those who have nothing more urgent to do with their time than this really the ones we want to trust to perform such a critical function for us all?

And is the remedy for the possibility of bias or incompetence in referee-selection on the part of editors really to throw selectivity to the winds, and let referees pick themselves? Considering all that hangs on being published in refereed journals, it does not take much imagination to think of ways authors could manipulate such a system to their own advantage, human nature being what it is.

Peer Commentary vs. Peer Review

And is peer commentary (even if we can settle the vexed "peer" question) really peer review? Will I say publicly about someone who might be refereeing my next grant application or tenure review what I really think are the flaws of his latest raw manuscript? (Should we then be publishing our names alongside our votes in civic elections too, without fear or favour?) Will I put into a public commentary -- alongside who knows how many other such commentaries, to be put to who knows what use by who knows whom -- the time and effort that I would put into a referee report for an editor I know to be turning specifically to me and a few other specialists for our expertise on a specific paper?

If there is anyone on this planet who is in a position to attest to the functional difference between peer review and peer commentary (Harnad 1982, 1984), it is surely the author of the present article, who has been umpiring a peer-reviewed paper journal of Open Peer Commentary (Behavioral and Brain Sciences [http://www.princeton.edu/~harnad/bbs.html], published by Cambridge University Press) for over 2 decades (Harnad 1979), as well as a peer-reviewed online-only journal of Open Peer Commentary (Psycoloquy, sponsored by the American Psychological Association, [http://www.princeton.edu/~harnad/psyc.html] for what will soon be a decade too).

Both journals are rigorously refereed; only those papers that have successfully passed through the peer review filter go on to run the gauntlet of open peer commentary, an extremely powerful and important SUPPLEMENT to peer review, but certainly no SUBSTITUTE for it. Indeed, no one but the editor sees [or should have to see] the population of raw, unrefereed submissions, consisting of manuscripts eventually destined to be revised and accepted after peer review, but also (with a journal like BBS, with a 75% rejection rate) many manuscripts not destined to appear in that particular journal at all. Referee reports, some written for my eyes only, all written for at most the author and fellow referees, are nothing like public commentaries for the eyes of the entire learned community, and vice versa. Nor do 75% of the submissions justify soliciting public commentary, or at least not commentary at the BBS level of the hierarchy.

It has been suggested that in fields such as Physics, where the rejection rate is lower (perhaps in part because the authors are more disciplined and realistic in their initial choice of target journal, rather than trying their luck from the top down), the difference between the unrefereed preprint literature and the refereed reprint literature may not be that great; hence one is fairly safe using the unrefereed drafts, and perhaps the refereeing could be jettisoned altogether.

Successful Test-Site in Los Alamos

Support for this possibility has been adduced from the remarkable success of the NSF/DOE-supported Los Alamos Physics Archive (http://xxx.lanl.gov), a free, public repository for a growing proportion of the current physics literature, with over 14,000 new papers annually and 35,000 users daily. Most papers are initially deposited as unrefereed preprints, and for some (no one knows how many), their authors never bother replacing them with the final revised draft that is accepted for publication. Yet Los Alamos is actively used and cited by the physics community (Ginsparg 1994, 1996) [http://www.physics.uiuc.edu/Physics/library/preprint.html].

Is this really evidence that peer review is not indispensable after all? Hardly, for the "Invisible Hand" of peer review is still there, exerting its civilising influence: Every paper deposited in Los Alamos is also destined for a peer reviewed journal; the author knows it will be answerable to the editors and referees. That certainly constrains how it is written in the first place. Remove that invisible constraint -- let the authors be answerable to no one but the general users of the Archive (or even its self-appointed "commentators") -- and watch human nature take its natural course. Standards will erode, as the Archive devolves toward the canonical state of unconstrained postings: the free-for-all chat-groups of Usenet [http://tile.net/news/listed.html], that Global Graffiti Board for Trivial Pursuit -- until someone re-invents peer review and quality control.

A subversive proposal

Now it is no secret that I am a strong advocate of a free literature along the lines of Los Alamos (Okerson & O'Donnell 1995) [http://cogsci.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/subvert.html]. How are we to reconcile the conservative things said in the present article about quality control with the radical things advocated elsewhere about public author archives (Harnad 1998a, 1998b) [http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/nature.html]?

The answer is very simple. The current price of the refereed paper journal literature is paid for by Subscription, Site License and Pay-Per-View (S/SL/PPV). Both the medium (paper) and the method of cost-recovery (S/SL/PPV) share the feature that they block access to the refereed literature, whereas the authors, who contribute their papers for free, would infinitely prefer free, universal access to their work.

The optimal (and inevitable) solution is an online-only refereed journal literature, which will be much less expensive to publish (less than 1/3 of the current price per page) once it is paper-free [http://amsci-forum.amsci.org/archives/september-forum.html]; but it will not be entirely cost-free, because the peer review (and editing) still needs to be paid for (Odlyzko 1998). If those residual costs are paid at the author's end (not out of the author's pocket, of course, but out of publication funds redirected from 1/3 of the 3/3 savings from subscription cancellations), the dividend will be that the papers are all accessible for free for all (via discipline-specific archives such as CogPrints [http://cogprints.soton.ac.uk] -- to be subsumed, once viable, by a single international, interdisciplinary archive such as http://xxx.soton.ac.uk, mirrored worldwide, which will then have an unrefereed preprint sector and a refereed, published, reprint sector, tagged by journal name). Journal publishers will continue to provide the quality control, while the public archive will serve as the "front end" for both journal submissions and published articles.

Streamlining peer review for the airwaves

Peer review is medium-independent, but the online-only medium will make it possible for journals to implement it not only more cheaply and efficiently, but also more equitably and effectively than was possible in paper, through subtle variants of the very means I have criticised above (Harnad 1996, 1997): Papers will be submitted in electronic form, and archived on the Web (in hidden referee-only sites, or publicly, in xxx, depending on the author's preferences). Referees need no longer be mailed hard copies; they will access the submissions from the Web. [http://www.consecol.org/Journal/consortium.html]

To distribute the load among referees more equitably (and perhaps also to protect editors from themeselves], the journal editor can formally approach a much larger population of selected, qualified experts about relevant papers they are invited to referee if they have the time and inclination. Referee reports can be emailed or deposited directly through a password-controlled Web interface. Accepted final drafts can be edited and marked up online, and the final draft can then be deposited in the public Archive for all, replacing the preprint.

Galactic hitch-hiking, PostGutenberg

Referee reports can be revised, published and linked to the published article as commentaries if the referee wishes; so can author rebuttals. And further commentaries, both refereed and unrefereed, can be archived and linked to the published article, along with author responses. Nor is there any reason to rule out postpublication author updates and revisions of the original article -- 2nd and 3rd editions, both unrefereed and refereed. Learned Inquiry, as I have had occasion to write before (Harnad 1990) [http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/Papers/Harnad/harnad90.skywriting.html], is a continuum; reports of its findings -- informal and formal, unrefereed and refereed -- are milestones, not gravestones; as such, they need only be reliably sign-posted. The discerning hitch-hiker in the PostGutenberg Galaxy can take care of the rest (Harnad 1991).

Overall, the dissemination of learned research, once we have attained the optimal and inevitable state described here, will be appreciably accelerated, universally accessible, and incomparably more interactive in the age of Scholarly Skywriting than it was in our own pedestrian, papyrocentric one; Learned Inquiry itself will be the chief beneficiary.

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